At LISTedTECH, we love data and enjoy finding new ways to understand it. Recently, we have been working on a new algorithm. This algorithm looks at several components of a product selection:
- Current market trends or the repartition of companies within a product category. For example, we know that in 2020, 40% of the LMS market in the US goes to product “A”. We could also break this component down by enrollment size, degree size and other socio-demographic data.
- Past selections – we look at the last years to do a general regression.
- IT peer institutions – using the same system that identifies IT peer institutions in our portal, we evaluate what they select for one product category.
- Socio-demographic peer institutions – we also look at what “regular” peer institutions use.
- Decommission data – we look at what institutions using product “A” select after they decommission it.
Our previous algorithm was not very successful when it came to predicting the new LMS. We knew that institutions would select their LMS between Blackboard, Brightspace, Canvas, Moodle and Others, so we had a 20% chance to choose the correct system. But, using our data with peer profiles and mixing them with our algorithm, we believe we can now predict the right system more than 75% of the time.
While working on the algorithm, we validated it using publicly available RFP data as a starting point. We verified our internal predictions using the announcements made by institutions, companies or our scrapers. With this post, we want to test our algorithm publicly and show you how our data can help you select your institution’s next learning management system.
As you can see in the table below, we have listed RFPs that we have found dating back to 2019. This list is only for higherEd LMS in North America. We hope to have different product groups shortly.
We will validate our predictions as soon as we discover an announcement or learn that an institution uses a new LMS. If an institution does not select a new system or keeps its current system, we will not count it since some RFPs are often RFIs. We will only include new system implementations in this prediction table.
Percentage of good LMS predictions as of October 14, 2021: 17 out of 21 (80,9%)
Bookmark this post as we will continue to update it as soon as we find a new product selection.
| Institution Name | Country | RFP Year | LISTedTECH Prediction | Institution Selection | Correct Prediction |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Carleton University | Canada | 2019 | Brightspace | Brightspace | Y |
| Central Connecticut State University | USA | 2019 | Canvas | NA | |
| Chemeketa Community College | USA | 2019 | Canvas | Canvas | Y |
| Kent State University | USA | 2019 | Canvas | Canvas | Y |
| Metropolitan State University of Denver | USA | 2019 | Canvas | Canvas | Y |
| Mississippi State University | USA | 2019 | Canvas | Canvas | Y |
| Southeast Missouri State University | USA | 2019 | Canvas | Canvas | Y |
| University of Rhode Island | USA | 2019 | Canvas | Brightspace | N |
| Western State Colorado University | USA | 2019 | Canvas | Canvas | Y |
| Mohave Community College | USA | 2020 | Brightspace | NA | |
| Northeast Ohio Medical University | USA | 2020 | Canvas | Canvas | Y |
| University of Kansas | USA | 2020 | Canvas | Canvas | Y |
| University of New Mexico | USA | 2020 | Canvas | Canvas | Y |
| University of New Mexico-Gallup Campus | USA | 2020 | Canvas | Canvas | Y |
| University of New Mexico–Los Alamos | USA | 2020 | Canvas | Canvas | Y |
| University of New Mexico-Taos Branch | USA | 2020 | Canvas | Canvas | Y |
| University of New Mexico-Valencia County Branch | USA | 2020 | Canvas | Canvas | Y |
| University of Toledo | USA | 2020 | Blackboard | Others | N |
| University of Victoria | Canada | 2020 | Brightspace | Brightspace | Y |
| Framingham State University | USA | 2021 | Brightspace | NA | |
| Holyoke Community College | USA | 2021 | Canvas | NA | |
| Illinois Central College | USA | 2021 | Brightspace | NA | |
| St. Cloud State University | USA | 2021 | Canvas | NA | |
| University of Illinois at Chicago | USA | 2021 | Canvas | Canvas | Y |
| University of Tennessee | USA | 2021 | Canvas | Blackboard | N |
| University of Toledo | USA | 2021 | Blackboard | Elsevier | N |
| Virginia Commonwealth University | USA | 2021 | Canvas | Canvas | Y |
| Metropolitan Community College-Kansas City | USA | 2021 | Canvas | NA |
